Chicken and pork production and exportation increases in 2020

Studies and projections presented on Wednesday, December 9, by the Brazilian Association of Animal Protein (ABPA) indicate that the production, export, and per capita consumption of chicken, pork, and eggs should end 2020 with positive growth numbers. According to the organization, several of these numbers are new records.

PRODUCTION

Chicken: According to ABPA, Brazilian chicken production may reach up to 13.8 million tons in 2020, up 4.2% compared to 13.245 million tons produced in 2019. Shipments in the sector may reach 4.23 million tons, a number comparatively 0.5% higher than that registered last year, with 4.214 million tons.

The total expected availability for the domestic market should reach 9.6 million tons, a volume 6.3% higher than in the same period of 2019, with 9 million tons. Per capita consumption is expected to reach 45 kilos in 2020, a 5% increase over that registered in 2019, with 42.84 kilos.

Eggs: Doubling in volume over the last decade, according to ABPA surveys, egg production is expected to reach 53.5 billion units produced in 2020, 9.1% more than in 2019, when 49 billion eggs were produced. The sector’s per capita consumption is expected to reach 250 units this year, 8.7% more than the index registered in 2019, with 230 units.

Pork: According to the figures raised by ABPA, Brazilian pork production could reach up to 4.3 million tons this year, a number 8% higher than that reached in 2019, with 3,983 million tons.

For the first time this year, exports are expected to exceed 1 million tons, with a forecast total of up to 1.03 million tons, a number 37% higher than the 750,000 tons exported in 2019.

In the domestic market, total availability may total 3.3 million tons, up 2% more than in 2019, with 3.233 million tons. Per capita consumption should accompany the population’s slow growth, stabilized at 15.3 kilos.

In the assessment of ABPA president, Ricardo Santin, as in 2019, the health crisis of the African swine flu that impacted the swineherd in Asia, part of Europe, and Africa continued to boost Brazilian poultry and pork exports. “Asian nations have consolidated themselves as the main importers of poultry and pork meat from Brazil and were the main vectors of the year’s result in both sectors”, he explains.

“In the international market, the impact on the flow of passengers has reduced the importation of major Islamic destinations of animal protein from Brazil, such as the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, especially at the height of the pandemic crisis in these countries. With the decrease in cases and the gradual return of tourism in these nations, we have observed a significant improvement in the sale of these markets ”, completes the market’s director, Luis Rua.

EXPORTS JAN-NOV 2020

Chicken – Brazilian chicken exports (considering all products, between fresh and processed) totaled 350,700 tons in November, a volume 5.6% higher than that registered in the same period of 2019 when 332,000 tons were exported. In terms of revenue, November exports reached US$ 476.8 million, 11.3% less than in the same period in 2019, with US$ 537.5 million. In the accumulated result for the year, sales of chicken meat remained at 0.69%, with 3.849 million tons shipped between January and November 2020 and 3.823 million tons in the same period of 2019. The dollar revenue accumulated in the period is US $ 5.543 billion, 12.8% less than in 2019, with US$ 6.358 million.

Pork meat – Shipments of pork meat (considering all products, between fresh and processed) reached 87,500 tons in November, a number 31.7% higher than that achieved in 2019, with 66,400 tons. In revenue, the elevation of exports in the eleventh month of the year reaches 35.7%, with US$ 202.7 million dollars, against US$ 149.3 million in November 2019. 2020 YTD (January to November) international sales of pork reached 940,900 tons, 39.5% higher than the total shipped in the same period of 2019, with 674,200 tons. And, for the first time in history, pork exports from Brazil exceeded two billion dollars, reaching US $ 2.079 billion, 47.1% more than the US$ 1.413 billion made between January and November 2019.

Outlook for 2021

According to projections determined by ABPA, the Brazilian production of chicken meat may reach up to 14.5 million tons in 2021, a number that would surpass by 5.5% the total numbers forecast for 2020. Exports are expected to reach 4.35 million tons, exceeding by 3.6% the total that should be exported by Brazil in 2020

In the domestic market, product availability can reach 10.1 million tons (+ 6.5%), with per capita consumption of up to 47 kilograms (+ 4.4%).

Brazilian egg production is expected to keep pace with growth next year, with a total of 56.2 billion units, a number 5% higher than predicted for 2020. Egg consumption should continue to grow, reaching 265 units in 2021, with an increase of 6% in relation to 2020.

Finally, pork production could total 4.4 million tons in 2021, up 3.5% from the production projected for 2020. According to the same comparative period, the expected increase in exports in 2021 could reach up to 10 %, with a total of 1.1 million tons expected. In the domestic market, the offer may reach 3.32 million tons, a balance up to 3% higher than the projections for 2020. And per capita consumption may increase by up to 2%, reaching 15.6 kilos.

“Asian pressure for chicken and pork from Brazil is expected to remain at high levels in 2021. At the same time, there is an expectation of resumption by relevant importers, such as the Philippines. Mexico’s import quota is also expected to be renewed next year. The “Olympics” effect should also favor sales to Japan, a country that is a constant presence among the three main destinations for chicken meat. Finally, both abroad and in the domestic market, a significant positive impact is expected due to the economic recovery, as the pandemic’s effects are eventually overcome”, completes Santin.

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