Brazil set to break another chicken meat export record in 2022

Brazil is set to have another chicken meat export record broken by the end of 2022. According to the National Supply Company (Conab), shipments tend to grow 6% this year, exceeding 4.7 million tonnes. The previous record was broken last year, with 4.467 million tonnes of chicken meat sold abroad.

As a result of vertiginous and solid growth in the international market over the last 26 years, Brazil is, by far, the largest exporter of chicken meat in the world. The United States should export 3.38 million tonnes of the product this year, according to data from the country’s Department of Agriculture (USDA), and the European Union should reduce the volume of chicken destined for the foreign market by almost 10%, with a forecast of export of 1.67 million tonnes.

The Brazilian growth to achieve market dominance was exponential. In 1996, the country exported 569 thousand tonnes of chicken meat. In 2002, it was 1.26 million tonnes. By 2007, the sector had already doubled this number to 3.28 million tonnes shipped. In 2015, the national poultry industry exceeded 4 million tonnes for the first time, with sales of 4.22 million tonnes.

See below the track record of the volume of chicken meat exported by Brazil from January 2019 to June 2022. The information below was gathered by Datamar’s business intelligence team through the platform DataLiner.

Chicken meat exports | Jan 2019 – Jun 2022 | WTMT

Source: DataLiner (click here to request a demo)

The growth trend should also be visible in Rio Grande do Sul. The state holds a share of nearly 15% of Brazilian exports. According to the state’s poultry association, the industry there should grow by an average of 5% to 7% (Asgav).

“We have witnessed an 8% growth to 375 thousand tonnes in the first half of the year. We have closely monitored all monthly results, indicating an average growth of around 5%, 6%, and 7%. Thus, if the tendency remains at such pace, we should bring the year to a close with an average growth of around 7% to 8%,” claims the president of Asgav, José Eduardo dos Santos.

According to him, this upward trend is driven by the turbulent international scenario, thanks to the crisis in the European Union that resulted from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the outbreaks of highly pathogenic bird flu, which caused the sacrifice of millions of birds in Europe and the United States.

An increase in beef shipments to 2.84 million tonnes, up 15%, is also expected. On the other hand, the pork market is showing signs of deceleration, mainly due to the Chinese market, which has been gradually recovering its production. As a result, exports point to a slight drop of approximately 2% with an output that should be just over 1 million tonnes.

Considering the consistent output of roughly 28 million tonnes and a rise in chicken and beef sales to the international market, the country’s per capita availability of meat remains over 90 kilos per year, a number that protects Brazilian supply.

Poultry production remains close to 15 million tonnes per year, ensuring a per capita availability of 48.6 kilos per inhabitant per year. However, the index, which peaked at 50.5 kg per person last year, has dropped by 3%, owing to a little decrease in supply, an increase in exports, and the expansion of the Brazilian population.

In the case of pork, Brazil should see the most significant output of animal meat in its history, estimated at 4.84 million tonnes, representing a 3% increase in supply over 2021. Such a scenario contributes to the minor rise in per capita availability of pork in the Brazilian market, from 16.9 to 17.5 kg per inhabitant/year, implying increased supply and downward pressure on product pricing.

On the other hand, beef production tends to sustain its supply-cutting behavior since demand in the local market is weak. Nonetheless, 8.1 million tons of meat should be produced, with a per capita availability of roughly 25 kilograms per inhabitant/year. In 2006 and 2007, the country’s yearly production of 10 million tons had already exceeded.

Source: Jornal do Comércio

To read the full original article, please go to: https://www.jornaldocomercio.com/agro/2022/08/857866-brasil-tem-tendencia-de-exportacao-recorde-de-carne-de-frango-em-2022.html

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