Brazil expects second largest grain harvest in 2019

Brazil’s National Agricultural Supply Company, Conab, estimates Brazil’s grain output will reach 236.7m tons in the 2018/19 crop year, just shy of the record harvest in 2016/17. Conab attributes the bumper crop to corn production which should reach 95m tons, due to good rainfall in Brazil’s corn-growing regions in recent months.

Com impulso do milho, safra de grãos pode ser a segunda maior da história em 2018/19 https://t.co/s1x4EQcXMk pic.twitter.com/Yo3w3FxRaX

— DATAGRO (@DATAGRO) May 9, 2019

Soybeans are still the principal choice for producers, with an expected harvest of 114.3m tons this season. Cotton has also become a profitable option for farmers in Brazil with global consumption currently outstripping cotton supply. Cotton exporters association Anea estimates the South American country’s cotton exports will reach 1.7m tons this year, up 35% year-on-year. Cotton production is expected to grow to 2.64m tons in the present season, from 2m tons in the previous season.

DatamarNews reported Brazil’s leading supplier of cotton harvesters, John Deere, are unable to supply new orders of harvesters this year. According to Reuters, Deere is the only supplier of the type of cotton harvester that Brazilian farmers use in the Mato Grosso and Bahia states. Other manufacturers, such as Case IH supply machines that are not suitable for local needs.

DataLiner data shows Brazil’s cotton export trends with seasonal effect:

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