Egg prices fall and exports decline despite record shipment volumes

Egg prices fell across all regions monitored by the Center for Advanced Studies in Applied Economics (Cepea) of the University of São Paulo (USP) in Piracicaba (SP) during October 2025. In Bastos (SP), Brazil’s main egg-producing hub, the average monthly prices for both white and brown eggs hit their lowest level since November 2024, according to Cepea.

Historic price drop in Bastos
In Bastos, the average price for a box of white eggs closed October at R$128, while brown eggs averaged R$145 — down from R$149 and R$164 in August, respectively. Researchers note that prices fell further in the second half of the month due to greater supply in the domestic market and weaker demand, a typical trend for the period. This marks the second consecutive month of declines.

Exports hit by lower foreign demand
After months of growth since early 2025, Brazil’s egg exports fell in the third quarter, according to Cepea’s analysis of Foreign Trade Secretariat (Secex) data. The drop was mainly due to reduced purchases by the United States, previously the largest buyer of Brazilian eggs, which lost its leading position to Japan following new U.S. tariffs.

Despite the decline, the 9,460 tonnes exported between July and September set a record for the period, though that figure was 42% lower than the previous quarter, it was nearly double the volume from the same period in 2024.

Shift in buyer profile
In August 2025, following the implementation of the U.S. tariffs, Japan became Brazil’s top egg importer. The U.S. purchased 2,130 tonnes in August, down 60% from July, though still 72% higher than in August 2024. Japan, meanwhile, imported 578 tonnes, up 29% from July. Despite the recent slowdown, year-to-date performance remains strong, according to Cepea.

First export decline in July
Exports fell for the first time in July 2025, with shipment volume dropping 20% from June, driven by a 31% decrease in sales to the United States. Brazil exported 5,260 tonnes that month, Cepea said, citing Secex data.

From January to August, Brazil exported around 32,300 tonnes of eggs — up 192.2% from the same period in 2024 and 75% higher than total exports for all of 2024.

Domestic market price swings
In August, egg prices rose in several regions tracked by Cepea, reflecting a rebound in demand following school holidays and the beginning of the month, when household consumption typically increases. In June, however, prices had dropped to their lowest daily levels of the year across major producing regions.

In Santa Maria de Jetibá (ES), the price of a box of brown eggs fell 10.6% between June 16 and 26, from R$207 to R$185. In Bastos, white eggs declined from R$169.52 to R$159 over the same period. In Recife, prices for brown eggs dropped nearly 13%, from R$185 to R$161 in just ten days.

Impact of avian flu and production trends
The avian flu outbreak in Europe also affected the Brazilian market, leading to restrictions on exports to China, Europe, and Argentina. Although Brazil has since regained its sanitary status, the resumption of imports by these countries remains incomplete, according to Cepea researchers.

Weaker demand combined with increased supply drove prices lower between April and May 2025, when accumulated devaluation surpassed 10% in the main producing regions.

High inventories and squeezed producer margins
In May, slow sales led to higher farm inventories, forcing producers to cull older hens to rebalance supply. This helped stabilize prices, but profit margins remained tight.

According to Cepea, in 2024, rising costs for inputs such as corn and soybean meal, along with production system upgrades, hurt profitability. In 2025, tighter supply allowed for more significant price adjustments to consumers.

Packaging and other costs also pressured the production chain. As a Cepea researcher noted, producers faced reduced margins last year, but this year’s more limited egg availability allowed for stronger price pass-throughs.

Source: Plox

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