First survey of the 2019/20 grain harvest indicates production of 245m tons

The first survey of the 2019/2020 grain harvest, released this Thursday (10/10) by the Food Supply and Statistics Agency (Conab), points out that the Brazilian production is estimated at 245.8m tons, which represents an increase of 1.6% or 3.9m tons compared to the 2018/19 harvest. Thus, the current crop remains as a record.

In the methodology used for this 1st survey, around 900 informants were used, between September 22 and 28, to seek information related to the intention of planting the summer crops that are beginning right now. The estimated yields for this crop reflect normal yield conditions and are calculated using the statistical analysis of the historical series and the technology packages, existing in the Company’s database.

The result of the study shows that the first crop of corn has an estimated production of 26.3m tons, 2.5% higher than 2018/19, with a growth of 1% in area, totaling 4.14m hectares. The second crop of corn, which represents about 70% of the grain’s total, will begin to be planted after the soybean harvest, which is currently in force. Soybean has been maintaining the growing trend in cultivated area and points to a growth of 1.9% in relation to previous figures, with 120.4m tons.

Regarding the first crop of beans, due to problems of rain in previous harvests, the first forecast of 2019/20 indicates a reduction of 3.9% in the area to be cultivated. At this time, the crop loses space for corn and soybeans, which have better profitability. Rice has a production of 10.6m tons, 1.9% higher than 2018/19, even with a reduction of 0.6% in the area to be cultivated, totaling 1.7m hectares. As for cotton, there was a small increase of 1.2% in the area, reaching 1.6m hectares. For wheat, the 2019 crop has not yet been fully harvested and the projection is that this cereal will reach about 5.1m tons.

As for the forecast of the total planted area in the country, it is expected that 63.9m hectares will be cultivated, a positive variation of 1.1% compared to the previous crop.

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