Brazil coffee sales pick up in January as prices rise and domestic liquidity improves

After a period of limited trading marked by a lack of active sellers and buyers in the domestic market, coffee sales in Brazil regained momentum in the first half of January 2026, according to an analysis by the Center for Advanced Studies on Applied Economics (Cepea) at Esalq/USP.

Prices for robusta and arabica coffee—the latter the most widely consumed variety in Brazil—closed at around 1,200 reais and 2,200 reais per 60-kg bag, respectively. Cepea said these levels are considered favorable and meet producers’ target price ranges.

According to the center, the upward movement intensified from Jan. 6, when March 2026 futures contracts rose by 1,450 points on ICE Futures New York. The rally on the exchange boosted trading volumes in the Brazilian market.

Market participants consulted by Cepea said that the turn of the year led some farmers to seek cash flow, contributing to higher liquidity during the period.

Despite the recovery in trading activity, limited rainfall in key producing regions of Brazil is raising concerns among coffee sector agents about the 2026/27 crop, Cepea said in its latest report.

Fertilizers

Purchases of fertilizers by coffee growers in São Paulo state increased in the final months of 2025, supported by stronger purchasing power.

Arabica coffee prices averaged around 2,200 reais per 60-kg bag in October, while robusta prices stood near 1,350 reais per bag.

At those price levels, São Paulo producers needed the equivalent of 1.16 bags of type-6 arabica coffee to purchase one tonne of fertilizer in 2025.

In October 2024, 1.44 bags of coffee were required to buy the same amount of fertilizer. Since Cepea began tracking the indicator in 2011, the historical average has been 2.6 bags of coffee per tonne of fertilizer.

Source: G1

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