Grains

Hormuz closure could trigger ‘agrifood shock’, price crisis within a year, FAO warns

May, 20, 2026 Posted by Gabriel Malheiros

Week 202621

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is the beginning of a “systemic agrifood shock” that could trigger a severe global ​food price crisis within six to 12 months, the United ‌Nations Food and Agriculture Organization said on Wednesday (20).

  • The disruption is not a temporary shipping problem, the agency said, warning “the window for preventive action is closing quickly”.
  • Governments, ​international financial organisations and the private sector need to take ​decisions on alternative trade routes, restraint on export restrictions, protection ⁠of humanitarian flows and buffers to absorb higher transport costs, ​it added.
  • The time has come to “start seriously thinking about how to increase ​the absorption capacity of countries, how to increase their resilience to this choke, so that we start to minimize the potential impacts,” FAO Chief Economist Maximo Torero ​said in a new podcast published on Wednesday.
  • The FAO Food Price ​Index – which tracks monthly changes in international prices of a basket of globally ‌traded ⁠food commodities – rose for a third consecutive month in April, driven by high energy costs and disruptions linked to the Middle East conflict.
  • In the short term, FAO recommended shifting trade to alternative land and sea routes, ​refraining from export ​restrictions – particularly on ⁠energy, fertilizers and agricultural inputs – and ensuring food aid flows are exempted from any trade curbs.
  • Over the ​medium term, the agency called for emergency credit lines ​for ⁠farmers aligned to harvest periods, expanded use of digital farmer registries for rapid disbursement of aid, and reactivation of a food shock financing window ⁠established ​in 2022.
  • FAO also warned the crisis could ​deepen with the onset of El Niño weather phenomenon, expected to bring droughts and disrupt ​rainfall patterns across several regions.

Source: Reuters

Sharing is caring!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *


The reCAPTCHA verification period has expired. Please reload the page.